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The 3rd Munich Economic Summit, held on 18 June 2004,
attracted over 150 top representatives of trade and industry,
politics and the media from the enlarged European Union. The hosts
in the Bavarian state capital were again the BMW
Foundation Herbert Quandt and CESifo.
This year's agenda
included the fundamental issue of the boundaries of -and opportunities
offered by- social integration in a Union of 25, encompassed in
the Summit motto: "Social Union, Migration and the EU Constitution:
Integration at Risk". The summit gainedparticular relevance
against the current backdrop of the unification debate in Brussels
centred on the EU's draft Constitution. Specialist ministers from
the old and the new Europe, internationally renowned economists,
representatives of industry as well as leading specialised journalists
participated in the three panels dealing with the interaction
between "Social Union and Migration", the opportunities
for a "Common Migration Policy in an Enlarged Europe"
and a possible "Migration into Unemployment".
In
his opening
speech, Kai
Schellhorn, Board of Directors of the BMW Foundation Herbert
Quandt, made it clear that the consequences of an unchecked flow
of migration and Pan-European uniform social standards for the European
economy are still insufficiently engrained in the public consciousness.
Especially in view of the present success story of the European
unification process, the Chairman of the Foundation called for a
critical discussion regarding its social and economic implications.
In his introductory
speech, Hans-Werner
Sinn, President of the Ifo Instit ute
and CESifo, found clear words of criticism concerning the idea of
a European Social Union: "If Europe establishes a social union
of the German kind with harmonised replacement incomes throughout
the continent, there will betwenty regions like East Germany in
Europe. No one can afford that". In order to put a stop to
the impending erosion of the welfare states in Europe, Sinn proposed
applying "selectively delayed socialintegration" with
a transition period before income support or housing subsidies could
be claimed. As a fundamental supporter of the migration of the gainfully
employed, who will in turn create additional growth in Europe, Sinn
proposed that the country of origin be responsible for the social
security of the non-employed. According to the president of the
Munich research institute, Europe cannot simultaneously pursue the
objectives stipulated in the EU Constitution of free migration,
social inclusion and maintaining the welfare state.
In his economic keynote speech, the Bavarian State Minister for
Economic Affairs, Infrastructure, Transport and Technology, Otto
Wiesheu, initially emphasised the opportunities of the East Expansion
of the Union, the "salutary pressure for comprehensive reforms"
in the old member countries. In doing so, he did not conceal the
difficulties that would arise from a socio-political motivated immigration,
and found the "country of origin principle" outlined by
Professor Sinn to be a practical alternative. At the same time,
however, the Bavarian State Minister for Economic Affairs was in
doubt whether such a "paradigm shift" could be implemented
at European level.
The Minister for Social Affairs and Employment for the Netherlands,
Aart
Jan de Geus, spoke out vehemently against fears of a too-high
migration pressure on the old EU states. Actually, only 0.2 percent
of the EU population migrates to
another member state, and this is because it is not easy to find
work anywhere. This is why the Dutch Christian Democrat spoke out
in favour of reforming the EU labour markets as opposed to erecting
barriers.
This was also endorsed by the Former Prime Minister of the Republic
of Latvia and Member of the European Parliament, Guntars
Krasts, as well as the Slovakian Deputy Prime Minister and Minister
of Finance, Ivan
Miklo. Both spoke out against a restriction of the freedom
of movementfor workers or against the harmonisation of the tax system:
from their point of view, the East Expansion is the right time for
substantial reforms, not only in the new member states, but also
in the EU of the Fifteen. According to the appeal of both top-ranking
politicians from East Europe, the EU single market must allow the
variety of countries and the competition of individual reforms freedom
to develop.
Jürgen
Strube, Chairman of the Supervisory Board of the BASF AG, classed
the progressive loss of skilled workers in the EU as a much greater
problem than the influx of cheaper labour from theEast: in Germany
alone, a million positions cannot be filled currently — in spiteof
high unemployment and inten years time this number will triple —
on accountof the downward demographic development. Strube concluded
that without controlled migration also from non-member countries
and more flexible labour markets, it would not be possible to overcome
the "structural growth brake" determined by a lack of
top personnel.
André
Leysen, Honorary Chairman of the Board of Directors of Agfa-Gaevert,
expressed a similar opinion: as he sees it, migration from the East
would only be problematic for the old EU countries — if at
all — in a first transition phase, yet in the future there would
be an opportunity to compensate for the lack of workers in the West
European labour markets.
The majority of the panel participants considered the EU-wide introduction
of minimum standards, whether salaries, taxes or social security
contributions, to be an unsuitable means of confronting the migration
problem. Minister-President of theFree State of Saxony, Georg
Milbradt, convincingly referred to the negative experiencesof
German unification and concluded by stressing his objection to "outdatedstructures"
on the new EU countries.
Extensive
coverage
by the major international press and news stations illustrated the
high level of interest raised by the question as to whether social
union should follow economic and political union. This year, the
Munich Economic Summit was able to further cement its leading position
as an international specialist forum for discussing central issues
regarding the economic present and future, thus smoothly picking
up the thread of the success of past years.
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