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Thursday, 28 May 2009
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11.30 am |
Aperitifs |
12.00 pm |
Luncheon
by Invitation of the City of Munich
Atrium
Welcome Address
Christian Ude
Lord Mayor of the City of Munich
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1.30 pm |
Opening of Conference |
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Jürgen Chrobog
Chairman of the Board of Directors,
BMW Stiftung Herbert Quandt, Berlin and Munich
Hans-Werner Sinn
Professor of Economics and Public Finance,
University of Munich;
President, Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Munich
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2.00 pm |
Introductory Debate |
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Adapt, Mitigate, or Die?
The choices are stark. But, clearly, doing nothing is not an option. While the world waits for the advent of binding agreements that may eventually start to curb greenhouse gas emissions, waters rise, rainfall fails, hurricanes rage and deserts grow. So, what do we do in the meantime? Do we go for accelerated adaptation in a sort of climatic Darwinism aimed at survival of the fittest instead of the fattest? Or do we think up a slew of technical fixes to mitigate the damage?
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What energy consumption scenarios (both quantitative and qualitative)
with significantly lower CO2 emissions are conceivable?
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What are the risks posed by conventional and alternative energy
sources (nuclear, coal, hydrogen, and renewables)?
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What are the likely effects of the global economic crisis upon
the industrialized countries' climate and energy policies?
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Can the EU remain at the forefront of climate protection in the
midst of its deepest recession in 60 years?
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Chairman
Stephen Fidler
European Finance Editor, The Wall Street Journal, London
Speakers
Hans-Werner Sinn
Professor of Economics and Public Finance,
University of Munich;
President, Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Munich
Ottmar Edenhofer
Deputy-Director, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Break |
4.00 pm |
Panel 1 |
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The Blind Alleys of Climate Policy
The road to hell is paved with good intentions. Vowing to burn less fuel is a worthy goal, but it is useless if at the same time the amount of fuel reaching the markets remains unchanged: someone is going to burn it up in your stead and thanks very much. Rewarding the industries that reduce their emissions through a carbon trading scheme while failing to reward poor countries that manage their forests more properly will gain no converts for climate virtue. Setting high baselines from where to start measuring emissions reductions in order to protect your national industries will do nothing to cool off the earth. The list goes on.
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Which opportunities offer new energy and environmental technologies
for the global economy?
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Do we need a production and consumption paradigm shift in the
industrialised economies?
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What effects can be expected from a reorientation from a demand-driven
to a supply-side climate policy?
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Chairman
Daniel Hertzberg
Editor, International and Deputy Managing Editor, The Wall Street Journal, London
Speakers
Karl Falkenberg
Director-General, Environment Directorate-General, European Commission, Brussels
Carl Christian von Weizsäcker
Senior Research Fellow, Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods, Bonn
Lady Barbara Judge
Chairwoman, UK Atomic Energy Authority, Harwell, Oxfordshire
Renate Künast
Chairwoman of the Parliamentary Group, Alliance 90/The Greens, German Bundestag, Berlin
Martin Wittig
Chief Financial Officer and Member of the Executive Committee, Roland Berger Group
Discussion |
6.00 pm |
End of Session |
7.30 pm |
Dinner at the Nymphenburg Palace
by Invitation of the Minister-President of the Free State of Bavaria
represented by
Siegfried Schneider
Head of the Bavarian State Chancellery and State Minister |
Friday, 29 May 2009 |
9.00 am |
Opening Address
Energy and the Environment
Mohamed Bin Dhaen Al Hamli
Minister of Energy, United Arab Emirates |
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Panel 2 |
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OPEC and Kyoto: Reconciling Diverging Interests
We are addicted to oil. Both to extracting it and to burning it. Pity
that the planet suffers from our addiction. So we go to Kyoto to find
ways to burn less of it, but in the meantime please keep the pumps going
strong so that we can consume less onerously. The fact is, we need
both: a liveable planet and the energy to fuel our prosperity. Can these
two needs be reconciled? Can OPEC help Kyoto?
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How can regional economic interests and global climate goals be
reconciled?
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What contribution can OPEC make, and is willing to make, to tackling
climate change?
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What concrete instruments (such as an ecotax) can help integrate OPEC into global climate
policy?
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Chairman
John Peet
Europe Editor, The Economist, London
Introduction
Henk Folmer
Professor of General Economics, University of Wageningen
Speakers
Claudia Kemfert
Head of Energy, Transportation and Environment Department, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), Berlin
Janusz Reiter
Ambassador-at-Large for Climate Change, Republic of Poland
Tom Burke
Founding Director, E3G, London; Adviser on Climate Change to the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, United Kingdom
Discussion
Break |
11.15 am |
Panel 3 |
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The Road to Copenhagen
Like any good pilgrimage, this one requires stamina. The road from Kyoto through Bali to Copenhagen has been arduous, not least because the pilgrims do not all agree on what the pilgrimage is about nor about where they want to get to. But global realities are gradually helping to gain converts, such as the US, which has slowly come around to accepting that there might be a problem with climate after all. Still, there are some major opt-outs, like India, which refuses to budge and commit to any caps on emissions. What are the prospects for an agreement in Copenhagen? Can the world live with a few opt-outs? What are the costs of sticking to business as usual?
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The Kyoto balance sheet: How far have emissions reduction commitments
been met?
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How can non-Kyoto countries be brought on board? (oil consumer
cartel, caps, Super Kyoto)
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About-face: A new American stance? Will the US reclaim a leading
role now with its new climate-friendly stance?
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Can such a turning point be expected from such emerging economies
as China and India?
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Chairman
Anatole Kaletsky
Editor-at-Large and Principal Economics Commentator, The Times, London
Introduction
Carlo Carraro
Professor of Environmental Economics and Econometrics, University of Venice
Speakers
Johannes Teyssen
Vice-Chairman, Board of Management, COO, E.ON AG, Düsseldorf; Vice-Chairman, World Energy Council, London
Angelika Niebler
Chairwoman, Committee on Industry, Research and Energy, European Parliament, Brussels
Tuomo Hatakka
Chairman of the Management Board, Vattenfall Europe AG, Berlin; Head of Business Group Central Europe and Senior Executive Vice President, Vattenfall AB, Stockholm
Karen Harbert
President, Chief Executive Officer, Institute for 21st Century Energy, US Chamber of Commerce, Washington, DC
Henning Wuester
Special Adviser to the Executive Secretary, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Bonn
Discussion
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1.15 pm |
Concluding Remarks
Hans-Werner Sinn
Professor of Economics and Public Finance,
University of Munich;
President, Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Munich
Jürgen Chrobog
Chairman of the Board of Directors,
BMW Stiftung Herbert Quandt, Berlin and Munich
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1.30 pm |
Lunch Buffet,
Cocktail Lounge
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2.30 pm |
End of Conference |